Our Predictions.
The Public Predictions.
In 2022, making predictions can be a risky business.
However, public expectations can help navigate the future.
We ask 1,000 adults, representative of the population, what they expect to happen. From sport to politics, and economics to the environment, this report reveals the expectations the public has about 2023.
Every year, Core publishes the PREDICT report.
At a time of the year when many speculate on future trends or cultural developments, there is much to consider and critique.
However, instead of speculation, we listen to the public.
We interview 1,000 adults about their hopes, concerns and expectations for the year ahead.
From this analysis, we publish PREDICT in early January.
To be one of the first to receive this report in the new year, you can subscribe to our mailing list or follow our socials.
To start the series, we explore some of the wider considerations people have about 2023.
Welcome to 2023.
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84%
OF ADULTS BELIEVE
Young people will need more economic support in 2023.
Generational Divide
Concerns by age group
Housing is the dominant concern for those aged under 40 years old, with 54% of young people saying it is very important to them.
However, the Cost of Living is most important for those aged over 40 years old, with 64% of this group saying it is very important to them.
39%
ONLY
OF ALL ADULTS BELIEVE
Ireland will address social and affordable housing.
The Gap in Politics
As housing became a key topic of importance for young voters in 2019, there was a push back on Government party, Fine Gael in the 2020 General Election. While the party secured 20.9% of first preference votes, Fianna Fáil secured 22.2% and Sinn Féin had 24.5% support.
While Fine Gael’s popularity rose during the first 6 months of the pandemic, it has been in constant decline since and the gap between the Government parties and Sinn Féin widens as opposition voices propose different perspectives on housing.
While a general election is not due to take place in 2023, politics will be dominated by the state’s response to housing.
2 in 3
PEOPLE BELIEVE
Housing prices will stay the same or increase.
55.2
Consumer Sentiment Index
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Consumer Confidence has been at a low level for three consecutive months, September, October and November. The last time it was this low was in December 2010, following the 2011 Budget which was described as “the most draconian budget in the history of the State.”
As well as worry about housing, there is a high pessimism about inflation not settling in 2023.
Key Consumer & Economic Indicator PowerPoint_Charts
PowerPoint charts include:
Consumer Sentiment Index
Inflation rates
Concern about Cost of Living
Emotional Tracker
69%
“Inflation
will not decline across 2023.”
OF ADULTS BELIEVE
Inflation rate
PREDICT 23 report released in January 2023
Receive the full PREDICT 23 report when published in early 2023.
68%
OF ADULTS PREDICT
Media reporting will be
informed by opinion,
not fact.
79%
OF ADULTS WILL NOT
Spend time with people who ignore the news and facts.
How well do you know the Irish public?
Take the quiz below and guess the proportion of the public
who expects certain events to happen in 2023.
70%
OF ADULTS PREDICT
People will work more from home, than the office.
32%
DECLINE
in volume of people in
Dublin workplaces
vs. pre-pandemic
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2022 has defined the ‘new normal’ work life and the way of work in many service and professional businesses has entirely changed. Hybrid, remote and flexible working arrangements is the new expectation from workers and throughout 2022, the number of people in Dublin workplaces (e.g. offices) is down by at least 32% compared to 2019. There is also decline in Cork, Galway and Limerick.
These numbers represent all workplaces, and as 55% of workers say they have to attend workplaces (e.g. hospitality, education, retail and healthcare), it is likely that this decline in office space is much higher - likely to be down by 40-60%.
This greatly impacts on city life, but also may rejuvenate villages and towns across the country.
7 IN 10
EXPECT
Communities (outside main towns and cities)
will grow because of remote working.
65%
OF PEOPLE EXPECT
People will support and buy more from small local businesses.
78%
People will spend more time with friends and family.
OF ADULTS THINK
As a result of less time commuting and more time at home, there is a very high expectation that people will focus on their social relationships. This is a legacy of the pandemic when many people realised this value.
Maintaining and improving these relationships is also linked to people’s well-being and a focus on health will continue into 2023.
It is also most likely that the time with friends and family will be in the real world, rather than using technology or virtual space.
62%
OF ADULTS PREDICT
People will not start using
the Metaverse in everyday life.
